South Africa Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 – Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

Publisher Name:
Published Date: 1-Aug-2014
No. of pages: 79

This report elaborates South Africa’s power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of South Africa power market’s regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in South Africa on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential. Financial performance of the leading power companies is also analyzed in the report.

Scope

  • Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2013, forecast for the next 12 years to 2025.
  • Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear.
  • Data on leading current and upcoming projects.
  • Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports.
  • Policy and regulatory framework governing the market.
  • Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis.

Reasons to buy

  • Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
  • Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
  • Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
  • Identify key partners and business development avenues
  • Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
  • Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects

Table of Contents For This Report

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 4

1.1 List of Tables 7

1.2 List of Figures 9

2 Introduction 10

2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 11

3 South Africa, Power Market, Snapshot 12

3.1 South Africa, Power Market, Macro-economic Factors 12

3.2 South Africa, Power Market, Supply Security 15

3.3 South Africa, Power Market, Generation Infrastructure 16

3.4 South Africa, Power Market, Transmission Infrastructure 17

3.5 South Africa, Power Market, Opportunities 17

3.6 South Africa, Power Market, Challenges 18

4 South Africa, Power Market, Market Analysis 19

4.1 South Africa, Power Market, Supply Structure 19

4.2 South Africa, Power Market, Key Market Players 19

4.3 South Africa, Power Market, Financial Deals 20

4.3.1 Deal Volume and Value Analysis, 2004-2013 20

4.3.2 Deals by Type, 2013 22

4.4 South Africa, Power Market, Demand Structure 23

4.4.1 Electricity Consumption by Sector, 2013 25

5 South Africa, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 26

5.1 South Africa, Power Market, Key Electricity Policies 26

5.1.1 Integrated National Electrification Plan 26

5.1.2 Integrated Energy Plan 27

5.1.3 Integrated Resource Plan 27

5.1.4 Independent System and Market Operator Bill 28

5.1.5 White Paper on Energy Policy of 1998 28

5.1.6 National Energy Efficiency Strategy 29

5.1.7 The National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act, 2004 30

5.1.8 Ambient Air Quality Act, 2010 31

5.1.9 New Build Program 32

5.1.10 Energy Efficiency and Demand Side Management Program 32

5.2 South Africa, Power Market, Renewable Energy Development 32

5.2.1 The White Paper on Renewable Energy 32

5.2.2 National Response to South Africa’s Electricity Shortage 33

5.2.3 National Climate Change Response Policy 34

5.3 South Africa, Power Market, Foreign Investment Scenario 35

6 South Africa, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 36

6.1 South Africa, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, Breakdown by Fuel Type, 2013 36

6.2 South Africa, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Power Generation, 2000-2030 37

6.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 40

6.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 45

6.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000-2030 49

6.2.4 Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 51

7 South Africa, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 54

7.1 South Africa, Power Market, Transmission Overview 54

7.2 South Africa, Power Market, Distribution Overview 55

7.3 South Africa, Transmission Network, Development Plan, 2013-2020 57

7.3.1 Eastern Province 57

7.3.2 Northern Province 58

7.3.3 Western Province 59

7.4 South Africa, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 59

7.4.1 Electricity Imports and Exports, 2000-2013 59

8 South Africa, Power Market, Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Company 62

8.1 South Africa, Power Market, Key Company: Eskom Holdings SOC Limited 62

8.1.1 Company Overview 62

8.1.2 Eskom Holdings SOC Limited, Business Description 62

8.1.3 Eskom Holdings SOC Limited, SWOT Analysis 64

9 Appendix 72

9.1 Market Definitions 72

9.1.1 Power 72

9.1.2 Installed Capacity 72

9.1.3 Electricity Generation 72

9.1.4 Electricity Consumption 72

9.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 72

9.1.6 Hydropower Plant 72

9.1.7 Nuclear Power 72

9.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 73

9.2 Abbreviations 74

9.3 Bibliography 75

9.4 Research Methodology 76

9.4.1 Coverage 76

9.4.2 Secondary Research 77

9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis 77

9.5 Disclaimer 78

List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, South Africa, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (Million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2019 15

Table 2: Power Market, South Africa, Market Share of Power Generation Companies (%), 2013 20

Table 3: Power Market, South Africa, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-2013 21

Table 4: Power Market, South Africa, Deals by Type (%), 2013 22

Table 5: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 24

Table 6: Power Market, South Africa, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2013 25

Table 7: Power Market, South Africa, Foreign Direct Investment ($bn), 2008-2013 35

Table 8: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2013 36

Table 9: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 39

Table 10: Power Market, South Africa, Leading Active Thermal Power Plants, 2013 41

Table 11: Power Market, South Africa, Leading Upcoming Thermal Power Plants, 2014-2020 42

Table 12: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 44

Table 13: Power Market, South Africa, Leading Active Hydropower Plants, 2013 45

Table 14: Power Market, South Africa, Leading Upcoming Hydropower Plants (MW), 2014-2020 46

Table 15: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 48

Table 16: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 50

Table 17: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 53

Table 18: Power Market, South Africa, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2000-2020 55

Table 19: Power Market, South Africa, Distribution Line Network (Ckm), 2000-2020 56

Table 20: Power Market, South Africa, Transmission Development Plan, 2013-2022 57

Table 21: Power Market, South Africa, Eastern Province, Major New Grid Assets, 2013-2022 58

Table 22: Power Market, South Africa, Northern Province, Major New Grid Assets, 2013-2022 58

Table 23: Power Market, South Africa, West Province, Major New Grid Assets, 2013-2022 59

Table 24: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2013 61

Table 25: Power Market, South Africa, SWOT Profile of Eskom Holdings SOC Limited, 2013 65

Table 26: Abbreviations 74

List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, South Africa, Gross Domestic Product ($bn) and Population (million), 2000-2019 13

Figure 2: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2019 14

Figure 3: Power Market, South Africa, Market Share of Power Generation Companies (%), 2013 20

Figure 4: Power Market, South Africa, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-2013 21

Figure 5: Power Market, South Africa, Deals by Type (%), 2013 22

Figure 6: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 23

Figure 7: Power Market, South Africa, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2013 25

Figure 8: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2013 36

Figure 9: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 38

Figure 10: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 43

Figure 11: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 47

Figure 12: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 49

Figure 13: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 52

Figure 14: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2013 60

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